In my years working in international trade, I’ve never witnessed such rapid and unpredictable changes to the regulatory landscape. Tariffs that were proposed when I started working on this blog post just a couple weeks ago have been enacted, modified, paused and reimplemented. Who knows how that may change again once this post gets published (not to mention when a search engine finally directs you to this page)!
Rather than detailing the specific tariff changes, I want to focus on practical strategies your company can implement to navigate this volatility. (There are plenty of resources tracking the latest tariff developments, and if your organization is involved in international trade, somebody—or some group of bodies—should already be monitoring these closely.)
Instead, I want to outline some concrete strategies to not only weather tariff uncertainty but potentially gain competitive advantage in this challenging environment. From immediate tactical responses to thoughtful long-term planning, these approaches can help both importers and exporters maintain profitability despite ongoing trade policy disruptions.
Strategies for Importers
Analyze Tariff Exposure
Before implementing any strategy, companies should analyze their exposure to tariff changes by looking at both direct exposure (tariffs on company imports) and indirect exposure (tariffs affecting suppliers).
Start by identifying all imported products, calculating current and projected tariff costs, and identifying high-risk items. Document current suppliers, lead times and minimum order quantities. Analyze profit margins before and after tariff increases to prioritize mitigation efforts. Shipping Solutions’ Import Controls Software can help with this.
Example Tariff Exposure Calculation
Let’s look at a simple example to illustrate the tariff exposure analysis process. (Please note: the tariff rates used in the examples I’ve included have likely already changed, so please just use them as examples.)
Company |
Product |
HTS Code |
Country of Origin |
---|---|---|---|
ABC Optics |
Hand magnifiers, magnifying glasses and loupes |
9013.80.2000 |
China |
Metric |
Current Scenario |
New Tariff Scenario |
Annual Import Volume |
50,000 units |
50,000 units |
Unit Cost |
$15.00 |
$15.00 |
Tariff Rate |
6.6% |
31.6% (25% increase) |
Tariff Cost Per Unit |
$0.99 |
$4.74 ($3.75/unit increase) |
Total Landed Cost Per Unit |
$15.99 |
$19.74 |
Retail Selling Price |
$28.00 |
$28.00 |
Gross Margin Per Unit |
$12.01 (43% margin) |
$8.26 (29.5% margin) |
Annual Additional Cost |
$187,500 |
Mitigation Analysis
- Price Increase Option: To maintain 43% margin, price would need to increase to $34.63 (23.7% increase).
- Supplier Negotiation Target: Need $2.85 reduction in unit cost to maintain original margins.
- Alternative Sourcing Option: Evaluate suppliers in Vietnam with 0% tariff rate.
This simple analysis helps ABC Optics quantify their exposure ($187,500 annually), understand margin impact (13.4% margin reduction), and set clear targets for mitigation strategies. The company can now make informed decisions about whether to absorb costs, raise prices, renegotiate with suppliers or explore alternative sourcing locations.
Assess Inventory Management
Front-loading or pre-buying inventory before tariff implementation can lock in lower costs. Companies like Ford are already building inventory to prepare for anticipated tariff increases. This approach requires careful planning:
- Identify key products where early imports make financial sense.
- Coordinate with suppliers to ensure expedited production.
- Review logistics capacity and warehousing constraints.
- Calculate carrying costs versus tariff savings.
While front-loading inventory can protect against tariff increases, companies must carefully consider the potential downsides:
- Capital Constraints: Accelerating purchases ties up working capital that might be needed elsewhere in the business. For every $1 million in additional inventory, that’s $1 million unavailable for other investments or operations.
- Storage Costs: Additional inventory requires warehouse space. Companies may face increased storage costs of 2-5% of inventory value per month, depending on product characteristics and location.
- Obsolescence Risk: This strategy is particularly risky for technology products or seasonal goods. A manufacturer of electronics might save 25% on tariffs but face even greater losses if newer models are released while sitting on excess older inventory.
- Demand Uncertainty: Purchasing excess inventory assumes future demand will materialize. Market downturns or changing consumer preferences could leave companies with unsold stock.
Case Example: Medical Device Distributor
One medical device distributor calculated that front-loading six months of inventory from their Chinese suppliers would save approximately $450,000 in tariffs. However, the additional warehousing costs, capital costs and risk of product updates meant their net benefit was closer to $190,000—still positive, but requiring careful analysis to confirm.
Cost Element | Savings/Cost |
Tariff Savings | +$450,000 |
Additional Warehousing Cost | -$85,000 |
Capital Cost Impact | -$75,000 |
Risk of Product Updates | -$100,000 (estimated value) |
Net Benefit | $190,000 |
The most effective approach often involves selectively front-loading only high-tariff, high-margin, non-perishable products with stable demand forecasts. Companies should develop a scoring system to identify which products make the most sense for this strategy.
Leverage Foreign Trade Zones
Foreign Trade Zones (FTZs) allow companies to store goods without incurring tariffs until they move into domestic markets. This strategy improves cash flow and provides flexibility in timing duty payments. Companies can store inventory in FTZs while monitoring tariff developments, potentially waiting out temporary increases.
It’s important to understand how FTZs function during periods of retaliatory tariffs:
- For U.S. Importers: FTZs remain effective for delaying or potentially avoiding Section 301 tariffs (like those on Chinese goods) or Section 232 tariffs (such as those on steel and aluminum). Goods can remain in the FTZ until tariffs are reduced or eliminated, or until demand justifies paying the higher duties.
- For U.S. Exporters: FTZs provide limited protection against retaliatory tariffs imposed by foreign countries. Once goods leave the U.S. FTZ and arrive in the destination country, they become subject to whatever tariffs that country has implemented.
- Re-export Opportunities: If retaliatory tariffs make certain markets prohibitively expensive, goods held in FTZs can be re-exported to alternative markets without ever having paid U.S. duties, creating flexibility to redirect supply chains.
Example Scenario
A U.S. manufacturer imports steel components from China (subject to Section 301 tariffs) and uses them to produce machinery. By utilizing an FTZ, the company can:
- Import the components into the FTZ without paying the 25% Section 301 tariffs immediately.
- Manufacture the machinery within the FTZ.
- If exporting the finished machinery to Canada (not subject to retaliatory tariffs), ship directly from the FTZ without ever paying the Section 301 tariffs on the components.
- If exporting to the EU (where retaliatory tariffs might apply), evaluate market conditions before deciding whether to proceed or redirect to more favorable markets.
- If selling domestically, potentially apply for reduced duties on the finished products through FTZ procedures.
This flexibility is particularly valuable during periods of unpredictable trade relations and shifting tariff landscapes.
Strategies for Exporters
Alternate Pricing Strategies
As we’re already seeing, when the U.S. implements new tariffs against goods from other countries, those countries often retaliate with new tariffs against U.S. products, which results in higher costs for your foreign customers. To keep their products priced competitively, companies may want to consider more sophisticated pricing approaches:
- You may simply want to absorb the price increase to maintain market share at the expense of short-term profitability.
- Adopt a dynamic pricing model that allows you quickly adjust your prices in response to tariff changes, demand and competitor pricing.
- Expand your product offerings to provide a range of products with different price points to help maintain profitability while serving price-sensitive markets.
- Pass the increased costs to the foreign customers by focusing on the quality and exclusivity of your products rather than competing solely on cost.
Leverage Rebate Programs and Trade Incentives
Rather than raising consumer prices, businesses can use rebates to recover margins while maintaining competitiveness. Several programs can help offset tariff costs:
- U.S. Duty Drawback Program provides refunds on tariffs paid for imported goods later exported.
- Canada’s Duty Relief programs offer tariff rebates for goods re-exported.
- EU tariff suspension programs exempt certain raw materials from duties.
Long-Term Strategic Planning
Supply Chain Reconfiguration
As much as importers and exporters may hope these changes are a temporary blip in the way we import and export, it’s likely we’re seeing a fundamental shift in the relationships between countries and the way they view the advantages and disadvantages of international trade. Companies need to evaluate their supply chains with the idea of making some fundamental changes to the way they do business:
- Diversify: Develop suppliers in countries with preferential tariff treatment or free trade agreements.
- Nearshore/Onshore: Assess the business case for relocating production closer to the U.S. market, factoring in tariff savings against higher production costs.
- Duplicate Sources: Establish production capabilities across different regions as “insurance” against policy changes.
Many companies in the United States have already reduced their dependence on manufacturers in China and have found new vendors in other Asian economies and Mexico. Companies should follow this trend by developing contingency sourcing options.
Tariff Engineering and Classification Strategies
Companies should be evaluating and, when possible, reengineering their products to find new sources for parts that may allow their products to qualify under an existing free trade agreement, or modifying their products to qualify for lower-duty HTS codes. This approach has been successfully employed by major companies:
These options require collaboration between product designers, legal teams and logistics professionals to ensure compliance while achieving cost savings. Shipping Solutions Product Classification Software can help identify these opportunities.
Ensuring Trade Compliance
While importers and exporters may be focusing much of their attention on the new tariffs and their impact on international trade, enforcement agencies like U.S. Customs and Border Protection, Bureau of Industry and Security, and Directorate of Defense Trade Control are working to ensure compliance with new and existing regulations. Companies should not forget the best practices for trade compliance:
- Properly Classify Your Goods: Classify your products not just for tariff purposes but also for export control purposes. Download the free guide: Classifying Your Products for International Trade.
- Know Who You Are Shipping To: The U.S. and many other countries publish lists of people, companies and other organizations with whom you can’t do business. Make sure you are screening your exports against these denied party or restricted party lists. Watch the free video: Export Compliance: Understanding Restricted Party Screening.
- Understand Export License Requirements: Certain items require a license before you can export them, even if you’re not shipping a physical product. Download the free guide: How to Determine If You Need an Export License.
- Identify Import Restrictions: Make sure you are aware of specific import requirements for your products including import licenses and permits, various types of certificates, absolute and tariff rate quotas, and anti-dumping and countervailing duties. Shipping Solutions Import Controls Software can help.
- Implement a Written Compliance Program: Once you have created the procedures your employees need to follow for your imports and exports, put those procedures in writing, provide your employees with regular training, and audit the results to make sure they are being followed. Download the free guide: How to Create and Implement an Export Compliance Program.
Conclusion
The current tariff volatility represents both challenge and opportunity for U.S. companies engaged in international trade. Organizations that take a proactive, strategic approach can mitigate risks while potentially gaining competitive advantage. To successfully navigate this environment, you need to blend immediate tactical responses and thoughtful long-term planning.
Companies should prioritize comprehensive tariff exposure assessment, implement strategic inventory management, optimize product classifications, diversify supply chains and develop sophisticated pricing strategies. With careful planning and execution, businesses can maintain profitability and competitiveness despite ongoing trade policy uncertainty.
By treating tariff volatility as a multi-year challenge rather than a temporary disruption, forward-thinking companies can position themselves to thrive where competitors merely survive.
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